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2005 (12)

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Book
Natural Allies?: Regional Security in Asia and Prospects for Indo-American Strategic Cooperation
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Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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Coup D'Oeil: Strategic Intuition in Army Planning
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Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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In our military professions, formal analytical methods coexist with intuitive decisionmaking by leaders in action. For the most part, there is no harm done. But many officers can recount times when they knew they should have "gone with their gut," but followed instead the results of their analytical methods. The gap between these two forms of decisionmaking perhaps has grown wider in recent times, especially in Iraq, where adaptive leadership seems to have overshadowed formal methods of planning. Departing from formal methods increasingly seems to be the mark of an effective commander, as we learn from Dr. Leonard Wong's recent Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) report, Developing Adaptive Leaders: The Crucible Experience of Operation Iraqi Freedom Guly 2004. But must it be so? Dr. Duggan shows how to reconcile analytical and intuitive methods of decisionmaking by drawing on recent scientific research that brings the two together. He applies this new research to the Army's core methods of analytical decisionmaking as found in Field Manual (FM) 5-0, Army Planning and Orders Production. The result is "strategic intuition," which bears remarkable resemblance to von Clausewitz's idea of coup d'oeil in his classic work, "On War". Dr. Duggan's monograph provides a theoretical ethical overview of strategic intuition and practical suggestions for amending FM 5-0 to take it into account -- Foreword.


Book
Chinese National Security Decisionmaking under Stress
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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If there is one constant in expert analyses of the history of modern China, it is the characterization of a country perpetually in the throes of crises. While China at the mid-point of the Twenty-first Century's first decade is arguably the most secure and stable it has been in more than a century, crises continue to emerge with apparent frequency. Consequently, the study of china's behavior in conditions of tension and stress is of considerable importance to policy makers and analysts around the world.


Book
Getting Ready for a Nuclear-Ready Iran
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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Book
Coup D'Oeil: Strategic Intuition in Army Planning
Authors: ---
Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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Abstract

In our military professions, formal analytical methods coexist with intuitive decisionmaking by leaders in action. For the most part, there is no harm done. But many officers can recount times when they knew they should have "gone with their gut," but followed instead the results of their analytical methods. The gap between these two forms of decisionmaking perhaps has grown wider in recent times, especially in Iraq, where adaptive leadership seems to have overshadowed formal methods of planning. Departing from formal methods increasingly seems to be the mark of an effective commander, as we learn from Dr. Leonard Wong's recent Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) report, Developing Adaptive Leaders: The Crucible Experience of Operation Iraqi Freedom Guly 2004. But must it be so? Dr. Duggan shows how to reconcile analytical and intuitive methods of decisionmaking by drawing on recent scientific research that brings the two together. He applies this new research to the Army's core methods of analytical decisionmaking as found in Field Manual (FM) 5-0, Army Planning and Orders Production. The result is "strategic intuition," which bears remarkable resemblance to von Clausewitz's idea of coup d'oeil in his classic work, "On War". Dr. Duggan's monograph provides a theoretical ethical overview of strategic intuition and practical suggestions for amending FM 5-0 to take it into account -- Foreword.


Book
Getting Ready for a Nuclear-Ready Iran
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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Abstract


Book
Coup D'Oeil: Strategic Intuition in Army Planning
Authors: ---
Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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Bookmark

Abstract

In our military professions, formal analytical methods coexist with intuitive decisionmaking by leaders in action. For the most part, there is no harm done. But many officers can recount times when they knew they should have "gone with their gut," but followed instead the results of their analytical methods. The gap between these two forms of decisionmaking perhaps has grown wider in recent times, especially in Iraq, where adaptive leadership seems to have overshadowed formal methods of planning. Departing from formal methods increasingly seems to be the mark of an effective commander, as we learn from Dr. Leonard Wong's recent Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) report, Developing Adaptive Leaders: The Crucible Experience of Operation Iraqi Freedom Guly 2004. But must it be so? Dr. Duggan shows how to reconcile analytical and intuitive methods of decisionmaking by drawing on recent scientific research that brings the two together. He applies this new research to the Army's core methods of analytical decisionmaking as found in Field Manual (FM) 5-0, Army Planning and Orders Production. The result is "strategic intuition," which bears remarkable resemblance to von Clausewitz's idea of coup d'oeil in his classic work, "On War". Dr. Duggan's monograph provides a theoretical ethical overview of strategic intuition and practical suggestions for amending FM 5-0 to take it into account -- Foreword.


Book
Natural Allies?: Regional Security in Asia and Prospects for Indo-American Strategic Cooperation
Authors: ---
Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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Abstract


Book
Chinese National Security Decisionmaking under Stress
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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Abstract

If there is one constant in expert analyses of the history of modern China, it is the characterization of a country perpetually in the throes of crises. While China at the mid-point of the Twenty-first Century's first decade is arguably the most secure and stable it has been in more than a century, crises continue to emerge with apparent frequency. Consequently, the study of china's behavior in conditions of tension and stress is of considerable importance to policy makers and analysts around the world.


Book
Venezuela's Hugo Chavez, Bolivarian Socialism, and Asymmetric Warfare
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2005 Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] Strategic Studies Institute U S Army War College Commandant AWCC DSI/Publications

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Who is Hugo Chavez? How can the innumerable charges and countercharges between the Venezuelan and U.S. governments be interpreted? What are the implications for democracy and stability in Latin America? In an attempt to answer these and related questions, the analysis centers on the contemporary geopolitical conflict context of current Venezuelan "Bolivarian" (bolivarianismo) policy. To accomplish this, a basic understanding of the political-historical context within which Venezuelan national security policy is generated is an essential first step toward understanding the situation as a whole. The second step requires an introductory understanding of Chavez's concept of 21st century socialism, and the political-psychological-military ways he envisions to achieve it. Then, a levels of analysis approach will provide a systematic understanding of the geopolitical conflict options that have a critical influence on the logic that determines how such a policy as bolivarianismo might continue to be implemented by Venezuela or any other country in the contemporary world security arena. At the same time, this analysis provides an understanding of how other countries in the Western Hemisphere and elsewhere might begin to respond to bolivarianismo's possible threats. Finally, this is the point from which one can generate strategic-level recommendations for maintaining and enhancing stability in Latin America.

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